Amazing article describing how it took billions of years for life to evolve and how the rate of change speeds up with time. Extrapolatingto the future he calculates (conservatively) that * We achieve one Human Brain capability $1,000 around the year 2023.
* We achieve one Human Brain capability for one cent around the year 2037.
* We achieve one Human Race capability for $1,000 around the year 2049.
* We achieve one Human Race capability for one cent around the year 2059.
Which just goes to show that NT could be nearly right in that we will be last generation to die.
Also the article goes to show that we the only planet to have intelligent life.
The Law of Accelerating Returns
Article from http://jurvetson.blogspot.com/2004/09/accelerating-change-and-societal-shock.html